Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.253729 0.293465 0.338722 0.394361 0.461306 0.539734 0.639267
2025-09-28 0.190923 0.241334 0.305302 0.393643 0.514400 0.676560 0.915775
2025-10-05 0.159440 0.214827 0.290889 0.405584 0.578852 0.838879 1.274960
2025-10-12 0.137748 0.194991 0.278622 0.413963 0.636039 1.002479 1.691127
2025-10-19 0.121750 0.179494 0.268316 0.420958 0.690108 1.173576 2.183287
2025-10-26 0.110601 0.169006 0.263061 0.433746 0.755450 1.381855 2.832972
2025-11-02 0.100077 0.157636 0.254030 0.437429 0.804094 1.572147 3.532483
2025-11-09 0.090883 0.147010 0.244310 0.437439 0.844855 1.758287 4.316701
2025-11-16 0.082659 0.136869 0.233764 0.433532 0.876073 1.932924 5.168026
2025-11-23 0.075242 0.127185 0.222586 0.426095 0.897469 2.091114 6.068015
2025-11-30 0.071107 0.122924 0.220965 0.438149 0.967006 2.399088 7.671052
2025-12-07 0.065345 0.114937 0.210956 0.430054 0.985218 2.572424 8.922017
2025-12-14 0.061270 0.109837 0.206291 0.433755 1.036554 2.870733 10.964876
2025-12-21 0.057180 0.104279 0.200006 0.432684 1.075563 3.150591 13.227951
2025-12-28 0.054714 0.101694 0.199661 0.446009 1.159729 3.626580 17.063539
2026-01-04 0.052161 0.098643 0.197878 0.455390 1.235460 4.114437 21.688884
2026-01-11 0.049728 0.095578 0.195655 0.463230 1.309313 4.639574 27.465765
2026-01-18 0.047922 0.093657 0.195802 0.477574 1.410004 5.344810 36.061716
2026-01-25 0.045633 0.090453 0.192518 0.481709 1.477194 5.945036 45.252368
2026-02-01 0.043307 0.086942 0.188076 0.481719 1.530039 6.515615 55.797632
2026-02-08 0.040946 0.083138 0.182481 0.477334 1.565422 7.024792 67.353043
2026-02-15 0.038586 0.079133 0.175948 0.468991 1.583163 7.454161 79.539164
2026-02-22 0.037459 0.077892 0.176318 0.482517 1.696791 8.561963 107.221116